Tuesday 31 January 2012

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Gold traded in the tight range and traded above 28000 mark some pressure seen as traders awaited the outcome of negotiations on a Greek debt swap deal and eyed a EU summit later in the day but recovery seen as support seen from rupee which retreated from a near three-month high, weighed by weak equities, dollar demand from a local steelmaker and oil importers. 

Concerns over talks aimed at restructuring Greek debt escalated after German Chancellor said earlier that European leaders were not expected to finalize Greece’s second bailout program at summit. Her comments came after German FM said in the Wall Street Journal that the euro zone may refuse to grant Greece a fresh bailout unless it convinces Europe that it can fully implement commitments attached to earlier bailout packages. 

Further weighing on sentiment, the cost of insuring Portuguese sovereign debt against default continued to spike higher, hitting a euro-lifetime high for the third consecutive day, amid growing fears the country may need a bailout. Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 54.21, where as 50DMA is at 27876 and gold is trading above the same and getting support at 27905 and below could see a test of 27750 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 28154, a move above could see prices testing 28248.

Trading Ideas for share tips free :
Gold trading range is 27750-28248.
Gold traded in the tight range as traders awaited the outcome of negotiations on a Greek debt swap deal.
Support seen as rupee retreated from a near three-month high weighed by weak equities, dollar demand.
Return of Chinese market participants after holiday fails to prop up gold prices.

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Tuesday 24 January 2012

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Crude oil futures tumbled in the Asia trading hours Monday with the mixed movement in the equities and stronger dollar resulting in negative movement the commodity. Low volumes may be witnessed today as many regional markets, including those in Shanghai, Hong Kong and Seoul, were closed for Lunar New Year holidays.

The muted start in Asia came amid lingering European uncertainty, after Greece failed to reach a debt-restructuring agreement over the weekend with holders of its sovereign bonds. Greece needs to seal a deal with its private bond-holders before it can receive more financial assistance and avoid defaulting on a bond repayment due in March.

NYMEX light sweet oil futures are trading down 30 cents at $ 98.03 per barrel. It fell by nearly $2 a barrel Friday, pressured by concerns over Greece's debt crisis, Chinese manufacturing and weak U.S. gasoline demand. Prices lost 0.2% lower for the week. With traders downplaying Iran's threat to global oil shipments, the combination of these issues sent prices lower for the week.

Preliminary results Friday from HSBC's China manufacturing survey showed little improvement in January, with weakness in output and new orders suggesting a deepening slowdown ahead. The news sparked worries over weakness in global oil demand. Talks over a restructuring of Greek sovereign debt by private-sector creditors failed to reach resolution over the weekend. Greece needs to seal a deal with its private bond-holders before it can receive more financial assistance and avoid defaulting on a bond repayment due in March.

A firmer dollar also added downward pressure to crude prices. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, rose to 80.337, from 80.148 in North American trade late Friday.

MCX oil futures may start today's session below Rs 4980 with support around Rs 4900 levels.

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